Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.259760 0.302553 0.349853 0.405966 0.470676 0.542914 0.629636
2025-04-20 0.189710 0.247167 0.317667 0.410316 0.528648 0.674498 0.867692
2025-04-27 0.158776 0.224088 0.310396 0.432316 0.599588 0.820459 1.133626
2025-05-04 0.135448 0.204162 0.300656 0.445241 0.655464 0.948913 1.388361
2025-05-11 0.116060 0.185316 0.287873 0.449628 0.696941 1.059100 1.627514
2025-05-18 0.099563 0.167491 0.273022 0.447325 0.726106 1.152179 1.849435
2025-05-25 0.085640 0.151195 0.257645 0.441086 0.746849 1.232764 2.058779
2025-06-01 0.074869 0.138258 0.245510 0.437743 0.770605 1.318937 2.284170
2025-06-08 0.064099 0.123588 0.228277 0.423090 0.772877 1.369058 2.453767
2025-06-15 0.061248 0.122706 0.234701 0.450146 0.849551 1.551014 2.864825
2025-06-22 0.053111 0.110664 0.219346 0.435608 0.849769 1.599576 3.045713
2025-06-29 0.046179 0.099933 0.204981 0.420915 0.847519 1.642588 3.219483
2025-07-06 0.040188 0.090373 0.191912 0.407596 0.847278 1.690957 3.411829
2025-07-13 0.036698 0.085586 0.187807 0.411770 0.882009 1.809370 3.751296
2025-07-20 0.035226 0.084966 0.192168 0.433836 0.955190 2.009469 4.270848
2025-07-27 0.033091 0.082521 0.192292 0.446804 1.010699 2.179415 4.745958
2025-08-03 0.030511 0.078643 0.188743 0.451205 1.048190 2.315791 5.164554
2025-08-10 0.027749 0.073898 0.182595 0.448895 1.070450 2.421922 5.528672
2025-08-17 0.025044 0.068882 0.175159 0.442635 1.082970 2.508052 5.857371
2025-08-24 0.022812 0.064742 0.169270 0.439280 1.101689 2.609286 6.228757
2025-08-31 0.020209 0.059214 0.159251 0.424578 1.091823 2.645196 6.455533
2025-09-07 0.019985 0.060150 0.165650 0.451726 1.186210 2.928739 7.280286
2025-09-14 0.017789 0.055211 0.156222 0.437138 1.175599 2.965626 7.527622